All
energy on earth originates from our sun (with the exception of nuclear,
which is galactic in origin) -- including oil, which is solar energy
stored in fossilized carbon deposits. With the days of oil prices below
$50 a barrel behind us and climate change marching forward, investment
in less polluting, renewable energy sources is on the rise.
Solar energy, which transforms energy from the sun more directly
into usable forms, is playing an increasingly important role in our
evolving energy mix. While some investors are just jumping onto the
solar bandwagon, many socially responsible investing (SRI) firms have a
longer history of exposure to this growing sector.
"Interest in solar power and solar stocks has never been higher,"
says Matt Patsky, a portfolio manager of the Winslow Green Growth Fund
at
Winslow Management Company,
which has practiced "green" (or environmentally effective) investing
since 1984. "The number of small, public solar companies has been
increasing, with several recent solar IPOs."
These initial public offerings have been quite successful,
according to David Schoenwald, portfolio manager of the New
Alternatives Fund that launched in 1982 as the
first environmental fund.
For example, IPOs for China-based SunTech Power -- whose offering
launched just this week) and U.S.-based SunPower -- which spun off
Cypress Semiconductor in the past few weeks) were both oversubscribed.
Other recent IPOs include Germany-based Conergy and Q-Cells. Other
"pure plays," or small companies focused exclusively on solar, include
U.S.-based Evergreen Solar and DayStar Tech, and Germany-based ErSol
Solar.
"Only a few of these pure plays are profitable yet, which is a
challenge for Wall Street," says Carsten Henningsen, chair of Portfolio
21, a
global sustainability fund
launched in 1999. "For example, SunTech Power has been profitable since
2003, but as a Chinese company it has direct access to cheap labor and
production and may engage in questionable accounting."
"Q-Cells and ErSol are also recently profitable," Henningsen told
SocialFunds.com. "Although companies present themselves as profitable,
it would be wise to examine cash flows and future prospects before
investing."
These mutual funds have been profitable, too. Three-year annualized
returns as of November 30, 2005 are 28.52 percent for Winslow, 13.46
for Portfolio 21, and 13.26 for New Alternatives, according to data
provided by
Thomson Financial Network.
While Winslow is limited to pure plays as a small-cap fund, New
Alternatives and Portfolio 21 gain more exposure to solar through
large, diversified companies with commitments to solar.
"The larger companies like Sharp have the advantage when it comes
to economies of scale, relationships with suppliers, research and
development budgets, and cash to grow market share," says Henningsen.
"We like Sharp because the company is the largest Japanese solar
battery producer and passes Portfolio 21's strict sustainability
criteria."
The solar market may also be fueled by recent commitments to
support renewable energy from large conglomerates such as GE, BP, and
even Wal-Mart.
"We believe that these announcements amount to validation of what
alternative energy proponents have been saying -- that alternative
energy sources will be needed to meet the world's energy demands, and
renewables such as solar will have major roles to play," said Liz Levy,
Winslow's environmental analyst. "Solar companies can currently sell
all of the product they make -- crunch time will come in the future as
silicon supplies ease and investments from large organizations such as
these begin to materialize."
Silicon is the primary raw material behind solar technology (with
few exceptions, such of DayStar's non-silicon technology), so
fluctuations in quality and supply of silicon pose a significant
challenge to this relatively young industry.
"New developments in raw materials and technology are yielding
different types of solar cell construction with different efficiencies
and different quality materials -- for example, we are seeing more
product options like thinner film solar cells that use lower quality
silicon," points out Henningsen. "The lower quality cells are less
expensive, however the efficiencies are very low."
"However, in some applications such as in developing countries with
far less power demands than the U.S., these lower cost and lower
quality cells may work well," he adds.
Subsidy schemes in various parts of the world are also fueling opportunity in the solar sector.
"The markets with the greatest support are in Germany and Spain -- there is also strong support in a number of
states in the U.S.," Schoenwald of New Alternatives told SocialFunds.com.
Just this week, the California Public Utilities unveiled the
California Solar Incentive Program that offers $3.2 billion in incentives over the next decade to build solar panels on homes and businesses.
Other significant opportunities of the future have yet to hit publicly-traded markets.
"While the greatest investor interest is presently solar
photovoltaic cells that produce electricity, I personally think solar
hot water heating systems may be more cost effective," adds Schoenwald.
"There are a number of private solar hot water heating system
companies, especially in China, but no public ones that I'm aware of."
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